Football Futures and Fantasy Football
Once the Super Bowl ends many football fans look for other avenues to expend their energy and sometimes money, whether it be NBA, MLB, Online Poker or horse racing.
Our favorite sports betting site is BET365 due to their wide range of betting options including live betting, props and futures.
Some of our favorite futures and props include rookie of the year, total passing yards, total rushing yards, total receiving yards.
Total receiving yards
Last year Calvin Johnson led the league with 1,681 yards and he is a good bet to do it again providing both he and Matthew Stafford can stay healthy. He is currently at +375 which means you would win $37.50 for every $10 you wager. As fantasy football fans we know that there is really only two other receivers who can come close to 1,681 yards, Andre Johnson (+650) and Larry Fitzgerald (+750).
There is an arbitrage scenario here where we bet on all three to try to ‘ensure’ ourselves winnings where we bet $10 on each for a total of $30.
Than we win $17.50 if Megatron leads the league, $45.00 if Johnson leads the league and $55.00 if Fitzgerald leads the league.
What about Welker and Cruz you ask?
As fantasy football players we can ascertain that both players are in for a statistical decline as Hakeem Nicks was hobbled for two or three games last season and also missed one and the Patriots added Brandon Llyod to steal some targets from the prolific Welker.
Total Rushing yards
This one is a little tougher, so we will not make any suggestions as this is a position where injuries often strike.
MJD (+700) led the league last year with 1,606 rushing yards despite being injured the whole season but Arian Foster (+450) was injured for a few games.
A better indicator here is yards per game where the top five goes in this order MJD, Foster, Fred Jackson , Darren McFadden, LeSean McCoy.
Out of the bunch Fred Jackson seems destined to see the biggest drop off and we are always concerned about the talented Ben Tate playing behind Arian Foster whether it be in relation to his fantasy value or in this case his ability to get more total yards than MJD.
Total passing yards
As fantasy football players we know that there are now four elite passing QB’s in the NFL with a few others knocking on the door.
The four are the three obvious names in Drew Brees (+375), Aaron Rogders (+550) and Tom Brady (+400) as well as new addition Matthew Stafford (+550).
Unfortunately these players are all threats to win the passing title so an arbitrage opportunity does not exist unless we try to eliminate one of these QB’s from the equation.
With that said Stafford will not need to throw as much with Mikel LeShoure and Jahvid Best healthy and Aaron Rodgers may throw a little less with a healthy James Starks rearing to go.
Rookie of the year
This years rookie of the year race is more tight than ever in recent memory but we here at Win My Fantasy League believe in Trent Richardson and RGIII.
Luck will be an excellent QB and could very well be the best player from this class when all is said and done, but we do not expect him to be a true offensive rookie of the year candidate with the Colts team in rebuild mode. With that said he could put up some big numbers playing from behind so often.
Trent Richardson would be our favorite on just about any other team in the NFL. On the Browns who are destined to be in catch-up mode for the majority of the season T-Rich may not get to truly display his elite level talent.
Justin Blackmon will have Blaine Gabbert or Chad Henne throwing him the ball, not a recipe for success.
RGIII will be given the reigns from day one and is our favorite despite sitting at +500. Maybe we are biased because we know he will have the best fantasy season, which does not necessarily mean the rookie of the year award, but we are reasonably confident here.
Written by Win My Fantasy League Senior Sports Writer/Fantasy Sports Analyst Raju Byfield (Rizzla).