Now to preface this article the following names are players who will likely not end up on any of my fantasy teams due to their current ADP price tag and not because of lack of role or talent. All of the players listed below have flex upside but have quite a few names being drafted behind them whom we project to have better overall fantasy seasons.
Chris Hogan – Chris Hogan made it onto our ADP bust list as well as he is expected to fall behind Eric Decker in snap count if and when he can get a firm grasp of the playbook. Hogan should have significant early season value but once Julian Edelman returns Hogan is expected to be knocked out of the two wide sets the Patriots frequently run as they look to get two tight ends on the field. Currently going off the board as the receiver taken there is likely no way Hogan ends up on any of my teams unless he takes a precipitous fall and is able to render some semblance of ADP value based on our current ranking of him as more of a WR4 than the WR2 he is being drafted as, as the 28th receiver off the board. To be clear, it is not that I don’t like Hogan, it’s just that there are other receivers most rank behind him that will finish with a better fantasy season when all is said and done.
Marqise Lee – While Marqise Lee should still play heavy snaps for the Jaguars we have both Donte Moncrief and DeDe Westbrook projected to end up with more total receiving yards and touchdowns. Lee also poses some injury risk as a player who always seems to be banged up even if he is on the field. I am and have always been a big Lee fan and always thought he was the superior receiver versus former Jaguar Allen Hurns but the revamped Jags receiver room seems poised to create weekly headaches for fantasy owners due to an overabundance of talent. One receiver will emerge as the star while the rest will likely rotate snaps, in this case we are betting on the talent and size of Moncrief while Lee, Westbrook, Keenan Cole and rookie DJ Chark battle with each other to stay on the field despite the fact that they will all be productive and could be a number two receiver for Sacksonville.
Robert Woods – While Woods is still expected to be a solid receiver this season for the Los Angeles Rams he is projected to be fourth on the team in targets behind Cooper Kupp, Brandin Cooks and running back Todd Gurley. Currently going off draft boards as the 26th receiver taken in yahoo drafts Woods is not someone that will end up on any of my fantasy teams this year. Woods may have some big games but is like many of the names on this list, more of a deep league or best ball target as opposed to a redraft WR2. Approach Woods with trepidation in the sixth to seventh round of your fantasy football drafts.
Rishard Matthews – Matthews is expected to see a dip from the 87 targets he amassed last year with both Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor projected to assume bigger roles for the Titans in 2018. At his current ADP of the 63rd wide receiver off the board Matthews may seem like a good value but there are quite a few names being drafted after him (such as John Brown) that are poised to have a bigger impact this season and many who have much higher upside. Matthews will still be relatively solid for the Titans but from a fantasy perspective his drop in receptions per game coupled with his lack of red zone production means Matthews will not end up on any of my fantasy teams in any format, including auctions.
